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Numbers Game

The cutting edge, and the Lara factor

A look at the players who execute the square-cut better than the others, and West Indies' fortunes without Brian Lara

S Rajesh
S Rajesh
20-May-2005
Perhaps numbers never do reveal the full story, but they tell a large part of it. Every Friday, The Numbers Game will take a look at statistics from the present and the past, busting myths and revealing hidden truths:


Adam Gilchrist tries the stroke which has been so productive for him © Getty Images
The square-cut stars
After checking out the cover-drivers and the defenders, this week's column examines the exponents of the square-cut. As in the study on cover-drivers, this analysis too places a premium on the average runs scored per dismissal when executing this stroke. Using this criterion for batsmen who have scored at least 200 runs from the square-cut in Tests since September 2001 (when Wisden Cricinfo began recording ball-by-ball data for every delivery bowled in international matches), the player who comes out on top of the list is Adam Gilchrist, with 283 runs and only one dismissal, giving him an outstanding average. Gilchrist plays most strokes exceedingly well, but his execution of the square-cut is particularly impressive for the manner in which he is able to latch on to even a fractional error in length, plundering runs off deliveries that most batsmen would be content to defend off the back foot. And the fact that he's only been dismissed once while playing it is a tribute to his judgement and his hand-eye coordination.
The next few slots are occupied by classy strokeplayers as well: Michael Vaughan, Mahela Jayawardene and Ramnaresh Sarwan have a higher strike rate than Gilchrist, while Marvan Atapattu's version, a rasping shot with a particularly exaggerated but lovely follow-through, gives him a high average and an excellent scoring rate.
Min. qual: 200 square-cut runs Runs/ Dismissals Average Strike rate
Adam Gilchrist 283/ 1 283.00 142.21
Michael Vaughan 332/ 2 166.00 159.62
Mahela Jayawardene 301/ 2 150.50 159.26
Ramnaresh Sarwan 374/ 3 124.67 158.47
Sachin Tendulkar 352/ 3 117.33 128.94
Marvan Atapattu 221/ 2 110.50 179.67
Inzamam-ul-Haq 212/ 2 106.00 172.36
Habibul Bashar 211/ 2 105.50 131.06
Mark Richardson 206/ 2 103.00 158.46
Graham Thorpe 204/ 2 102.00 114.61
Atapattu's strike rate of 179.67 is impressive, but it isn't the best. That honour goes to Chris Gayle, whose square-cut is rather less pleasing to the eye, but probably more demoralising for the bowler. Sanath Jayasuriya, another in the Gayle mould, is in the top five as well, while Kumar Sangakkara doesn't hit them with as much raw power, but as the strike rate of 195 shows, it's a mighty effective stroke for him.
Min. qual: 200 square-cut runs Runs/ Balls Average Strike rate
Chris Gayle 288/ 140 96.00 205.71
Kumar Sangakkara 286/ 146 95.33 195.89
Sanath Jayasuriya 392/ 218 98.00 179.82
Marvan Atapattu 221/ 123 110.50 179.67
Herschelle Gibbs 326/ 182 81.50 179.12
And if the sorting is done slightly differently, then another Australian legend heads the list. The square-cut was clearly a favourite stroke for Steve Waugh, and it shows in the stats - the shot fetched him nearly 16% of his total Test runs during this period.
Min. qual: 200 square-cut runs Runs/ Total runs Average % of total runs
Steve Waugh 258/ 1641 64.50 15.72
Sourav Ganguly 303/ 1952 75.75 15.52
Sanath Jayasuriya 392/ 2705 98.00 14.49
Damien Martyn 408/ 2927 81.60 13.94
Gary Kirsten 339/ 2483 84.75 13.65
Among the players who missed the cut are Jacques Kallis, whose average of 101.33 puts him in 11th place in that list. Brian Lara has an aggregate of 402, but his relatively high number of dismissals - seven - means that the average drops to just 57, putting him in 28th place.
The Lara factor
Does the presence of Brian Lara overawe his team-mates and cause them to play below their potential? That question has been doing the rounds of late, especially after West Indies' performance in the home series against South Africa. In the one Test that Lara didn't play - at Georgetown - West Indies amassed 543 for 5, with two double-centuries in the innings. In the next two matches, when Lara returned, the team capitulated, with only three fifty-plus scores from the rest of the batsmen. There could be various reasons for the debacle - the Georgetown pitch was an excellent one for batting, and when the West Indians got another such track, at Antigua, they came into their own again - but the issue came into the fore with Ridley Jacobs offering his opinions on Lara to further fuel the debate. Do the numbers justify the theory that the presence of Lara causes the rest of the batsmen to underperform?
At first impression, it seems to. In all Tests since 2000, West Indies have lost 52% of the games; with Lara, that figure goes up to 60% (30 out of 50 Tests); without him, it drops to 26.67 (four out of 15). The stats for individual batsmen are equally skewed - eight of the ten batsmen who have played at least five matches with and without Lara average more when he isn't around. And for some of them, the difference is huge - Marlon Samuels (64.40 without Lara, 22.08 with him), Jimmy Adams (63, 21.82), Wavell Hinds (54.15, 25.25), and Daren Ganga (38, 20.29) all seem to relish batting when Lara isn't in the line-up.
Since 2000 Tests/ Wins/ Losses Win % Loss %
All matches 65/ 14/ 34 21.54 52.31
With Lara 50/ 8/ 30 16.00 60.00
Without Lara 15/ 6/ 4 40.00 26.67
However, dig a little deeper and it emerges that six out of the 15 matches that West Indies played without Lara were against Zimbabwe (four) and Bangladesh (two). West Indies ended up winning five of those six Tests (though they did get a mighty scare once, at Port-of-Spain in 1999-2000, when Zimbabwe fell short chasing a target of 99). Remove all the matches involving those two teams, and the stats don't look quite so bad for Lara - West Indies have only won one out of nine without him, though the loss percentage is still lower when Lara is not in the side.
Since 2000, excl. Zim and B'desh Tests/ Wins/ Losses Win % Loss %
All matches 55/ 7/ 34 12.73 61.82
With Lara 46/ 6/ 30 13.04 65.22
Without Lara 9/ 1/ 4 11.11 44.44
Among the batsmen too, only two of six have a higher average when Lara isn't playing, but for both Hinds and Chanderpaul, the difference is a fairly significant one. Ironically, Jacobs has done much better with Lara in the side - in the eight matches he has played minus Lara, Jacobs's average is only 11.55. So, the numbers seem to suggest that West Indies haven't done particularly well without Lara, but worryingly, their performance hasn't lifted with Lara in the side either.
Since 2000, excl.
Zim & B'desh
Ave with Lara Ave without Lara Difference
Wavell Hinds 22.98 59.93 -36.95
Shivnarine Chanderpaul 52.26 62.92 -10.66
Ramnaresh Sarwan 37.91 35.57 2.34
Chris Gayle 39.12 31.70 7.42
Carl Hooper 45.72 34.75 10.97
Ridley Jacobs 28.86 11.55 17.31

S Rajesh is assistant editor of Cricinfo. For some of the data, he was helped by Arun Gopalakrishnan, the operations manager in Cricinfo's Chennai office.